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2024-12-13 05:41:49

The Bank of England plans to further provide liquidity through key repurchase tools, and the Bank of England plans to provide more liquidity to banks at a lower price to cope with the possible cash shortage in the British financial system in the future. On December 9th, the Bank of England said that it would increase the available reserve in the auction of indexed long-term repo (ILTR) from 25 billion to at least 30 billion pounds (about 38 billion US dollars). It is planned to provide more reserves at a lower "initial pricing level" and adjust the price for obtaining more reserves. These suggestions were made in a consulting report released on Monday, just before Dave Ramsden, vice governor, made a speech on financial stability. The Bank of England said it expects these adjustments to be implemented in the second quarter of 2025.At the beginning of the session, most US stocks of industry ETFs fell, while semiconductor ETFs fell by 1.12%, technology ETFs and banking ETFs fell by at least 0.3%, network stock index ETFs rose by over 0.2%, and energy ETFs and optional consumption ETFs rose by about 0.8%.Domestic futures closed at night, with coke up 5.6%, glass up about 5%, coking coal and synthetic rubber up over 4%, rebar up over 3% and iron ore up about 2.7%.


Mexican President Simbaum said that the US Deputy Secretary of State candidate "did a good job" during his tenure as the US ambassador to Mexico.Soochow securities interprets the meeting of the Politburo in December: there is more room for imagination in the policy of steady growth next year. soochow securities said that the meeting of the Politburo in December put forward three new formulations, indicating that there is more room for imagination in the policy of steady growth next year. The first is to "stabilize the property market and stock market". On September 26th, the Politburo meeting described the real estate market and the capital market as "to promote the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize" and "to vigorously boost the capital market". In December, the Politburo meeting put forward more directly and clearly: "Stabilize the property market and the stock market". The second is "moderately loose monetary policy". After 2010, the keynote of China's monetary policy has been "steady" for a long time, and it has changed to "moderately loose" for the first time in 14 years, and monetary policy is promising. In 2024, the regulatory mechanism of monetary policy has undergone a framework change. Since 2024, loan lending has changed from supply constraint to demand constraint, and monetary policy has gradually weakened its focus on quantitative targets and paid more attention to the role of interest rate regulation. Therefore, the adjustment of "moderate easing" in 2024 may mean that monetary policy will continue to exert its strength from the "demand side" in 2025, and continue to promote the expansion of effective financing demand by maintaining sufficient liquidity supply and reducing financing costs. The third is to "strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment". The meeting pointed out: "enrich and improve the policy toolbox, strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment, and lay a good policy' combination boxing'". The expression "extraordinary countercyclical regulation" was first put forward.Dow opened up 0.04%, Standard & Poor's 500 fell 0.1%, Nasdaq fell 0.3%, China Stock Exchange rose sharply, bilibili rose 12.0%, Shell rose 11.9%, Netease rose 9.3%, Pinduoduo rose 8.5%, Ctrip rose 7.2% and Weilai rose 6.9%. NVIDIA fell by 2.4%, and the State Administration of Market Supervision decided to file an investigation according to law. Palantir rose by 6.5% and reached a new contract with the US military.


The main force of Brent crude oil futures rose 2.00% in the day to 72.45 US dollars/barrel.Navigation warning: Military missions will be carried out in the northern part of the Yellow Sea in the Bohai Strait. According to the website of China Maritime Safety Administration, Dalian Maritime Safety Administration issued a navigation warning. From 7: 00 on December 10 to 22: 00 on November 11, some waters in the northern part of the Yellow Sea in the Bohai Strait will be carried out on military missions, and it is forbidden to enter.Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December by CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report pointed out that a new round of policy starting guns will be fired, and the policy inflection point will be reconfirmed, making it clear that the macro policy will be strengthened and effective in 2025. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a "more active fiscal policy" and enriched the policy toolbox, which may indicate that in 2025, both deficit ratio in a narrow sense and deficit ratio in a broad sense will be significantly improved, and the focus of policy development is also expected to be marginal in the field of people's livelihood consumption. From the perspective of monetary policy, this Politburo meeting calls for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy. This is the first time that China has implemented a moderately loose monetary policy after 2010. It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. From the perspective of domestic demand policy, the statement of expanding domestic demand in an all-round way, especially "vigorously boosting consumption", exceeds market expectations. With the support of the existing policies coming into effect and the policy of increasing domestic demand, the improvement of domestic demand may have strong certainty and sustainability. In addition, in terms of structural policies, on the one hand, the meeting clearly stated that it is necessary to "stabilize the property market and the stock market", and the importance of the stock market continues to be highlighted, and real estate is still in the policy landing period; On the other hand, the meeting emphasized that "scientific and technological innovation leads the development of new quality productive forces", and new industries and future industries are expected to receive further policy support.

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